Global Scenarios

Taxonomy of the Future

The PoleStar System works with the the scenario structure depicted below.

Click on the graphic for descriptions of each scenario.

Scenario Taxonomy


Futures in Motion

Tellus Institute has quantified four of these scenarios in great detail: Market Forces, Policy Reform, Fortress World and Great Transitions.

Click graphic below for latest results.

World Scenarios

Quantitative simulations take account of the forces driving global change, critical uncertainties and stresses on social and environmental systems. For each scenario, economic, social, resource and environmental patterns are broken down by eleven world regions.

Detailed Scenario Results

Result tables are available for all four scenarios through 2100 by specified region or indicator.

Click graphic below for latest results.

Scenario Result Tables